Field NotesField Notes · Regions

Three Worlds of Wine

There is no single story about technology and wine. There are three, and they pull in different directions. The same drone means a different thing in each.

Old World — defends an identity

France, Italy, Germany, Spain, Portugal. Technology is allowed in, but only in service of a story centuries old, so it stays out of the frame. The Old World is strongest on authentication, since the most-counterfeited wines are French and Italian, and on fungus-resistant breeding that keeps at least 85% of the classic grape genome. The tension is that the Old World needs the most radical climate adaptation and has the least freedom to adapt, because the appellation rules that protect its value also bind its hands. Bordeaux approving new climate-adaptation grape varieties was a far bigger moment than it looked.

New World — optimises an operation

Australia, South Africa, California, Chile, New Zealand. Technology wears no disguise here, it earns its place on return on investment. This is the technology home of the industry: dealcoholisation in Australia and California, AI palate and blending tools in California, the deepest robotics and sensor adoption, and the lead on direct-to-consumer, cans and alternative packaging. The tension is that with no inherited identity to fall back on, it competes on execution in a shrinking market, and carries the sharp end of wildfire and smoke taint.

Emerging World

Leapfrogging into existence

China, India, Thailand, England. The rare advantage of nothing to unlearn. China's Ningxia went from desert to roughly 40,000 hectares and 140 million bottles a year in two decades, with smart irrigation and digital fermentation built in as standard, the way the country built electric vehicles. Thailand rewrote the growing calendar for the tropics. England built a sparkling industry from scratch on a warming climate. The tension is that the regions doing the most genuinely new work fight hardest to be believed.

Old World defends. New World optimises. Emerging World leapfrogs. The most interesting conversations happen at the borders between them.

Sources: OIV, WSET, ProWein, trade and academic reporting, and company disclosures. Figures are directional and drawn from our full factbase.